Paul R. Gregory's writings on Russia, the world economy, and other matters that he finds of interest.
Thursday, September 26, 2013
Merkel’s Awful Election Blunder
The German and world press universally laud Angela Merkel’s election triumph in the German parliamentary elections. She has won (not 100% sure) a third term and she fell only three seats short of the holy grail of German politics – the absolute majority. Pundits say she won because German voters like her slow but steady decision making and her down-to-earth style. Few have pointed out that her election victory has been marred by a huge electoral blunder.
go to forbes.com
Monday, September 23, 2013
The Problem Is Obesity Not Hunger (Thoughts On The Food Stamps Debate)
Throughout history, politicians have fabricated 
crises to justify their own solution to the crisis they themselves 
dreamed up. History is strewn with non-existent crises – the population 
bomb, global cooling, resource depletion,  freon destroying the ozone layer, and so on  – that threaten destruction unless the government acts. The U.S. “hunger crisis” is the latest in a long line of such relics.
The current hysteria over the House bill to cut food stamps by $40 billion over a decade  (see Krugman, Free to Be Hungry) will be framed against America’s “hunger crisis” fabricated by the powerful “hunger lobby.”  Democrats
 will use the “hunger crisis” as a cudgel to beat those who favor cuts 
in food stamps into bloody submission. How can any decent person favor 
cutting aid to hungry families, who, according to the crisis mongers, 
constitute one out of six of our neighbors? Few politicians have the 
fortitude to withstand the onslaught and the “crisisists” will likely 
win. A non-crisis will be “solved,” as real facts and real crises are 
ignored.
Facts are the enemy of the “crisisists.”  Therefore,
 we hear few of them, and the facts we hear are distorted beyond 
recognition. In this case, the facts speak for themselves: The United 
States, and increasingly the affluent world, has a crisis not of hunger 
but of obesity. The hunger crisis is a clever fabrication to serve 
political and commercial interests. If the hunger lobby’s facts are true, our hunger rates equal those of the poorest African and Asian countries.
A quick review of the real facts:
Fact 1: More than one of three Americans is obese.  
On the other hand:
Fact 2: One in a thousand adults and one in ten thousand children do not eat for a whole day on an average day.
 
Fact 3: Almost a third of a million Americans die 
annually of obesity. Obesity is the second leading cause of preventable 
deaths.
On the other hand:
Fact 4: Deaths from hunger (due primarily to eating disorders) are too rare to be recorded in mortality statistics.
 
(Readers can check my sources: Journal of American Medical Association, USDA Economic Research Service, S-9, West Virginia Health Statistics Center.)go to forbes.com
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Why Putin Cannot Afford Runoffs: Navalny and the Moscow Election
As Vladimir Putin was running circles around Barack Obama,  opposition
 mayoral candidate Navalny was giving Putin’s Kremlin a lessen in 
American retail politics. Putin won big on Syria but lost big in the 
Moscow mayor’s race, whose outcome may change Russian politics in the 
long run.
In the September 8 Moscow mayoral election, 
incumbent, Sergei Sobyanian, narrowly avoided a run off with 51.2 
percent of the votes. Challenger, lawyer, anti-corruption blogger Alexei
 Navalny, officially received 17.2 percent. The Moscow Electoral 
Commission subsequently declared Sobyanian the victor. Navalny continues
 to challenge the vote in the courts with truckloads of evidence of 
voter fraud. Navalny has a snowball’s chance in hell of reversing the 
outcome in Russia’s courts.
Thursday, September 12, 2013
Sorry, Mr. Reich: Your Economics Grade Is Still F (Reply to Robert Reich)
In my Robert Reich’s F Minus In Economics: False Facts, False Theories, I gave Professor Reich an F for his Higher wages can save America’s economy — and its democracy. For
 those who missed it, the reasons for my grade (as a 40-year teacher of 
economics) are Reich’s lamentable disregard for facts and his lack of 
knowledge of basic economics. My specific criticisms included:
 
First, Reich’s assertion that America’s growth and 
prosperity rest on a “basic bargain” that corporations pay their workers
 enough so that they can buy their products is wrong.  Reich claims the bargain was pioneered by Henry Ford in 1914, who decided to pay his workers enough to buy his Model T’s.
Second, historical statistics show Reich’s 
assertion that the Great Depression was caused by businesses allowing 
wages to stagnate and profits to soar in the 1920s is false.
Tuesday, September 10, 2013
Robert Reich's F Minus In Economics: False Facts, False Theories
I am appalled by the economic illiteracy encountered in leading newspapers, business magazines, and prominent web sites (the news section of the Wall Street Journal is no exception). Robert Reich’s Higher Wages Can Save America’s Economy – and Its Democracy
 (Salon.com) is only one of many examples. As a teacher of economics for
 over forty years and a co-author of a best-selling 1980s economics 101 
textbook, I would have given Reich’s paper a resounding F, if he had 
submitted it for my elementary economics class.
Reich’s elevated credentials point to an automatic A+.  As
 a frequent TV pundit, author of 13 books, Chancellor’s Professor of 
Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley no less, and 
self-identified as “one of the 
nation’s leading experts on work and the economy,” many readers will 
automatically believe his economic nonsense. As a former Secretary of 
Labor, readers would be surprised to learn that Reich does not appear to
 understand how wages and labor markets work.
go to forbes.com
Sunday, September 8, 2013
Moscow Mayor's Election: So Much for Competitiveness, Transparency, and Legitimacy
Muscovites went to the polls today to elect their 
mayor. Mayor Sergei Sobyanin (mentioned as Putin’s eventual successor) 
resigned unexpectedly to call an early election for September 8. 
Sobyanin, appointed by Putin after he fired Sobyanin’s predecessor, 
needed to establish his legitimacy as a duly elected mayor. Sobyanin’s 
unlikely opponent is Alexei Navalny, anti-corruption fighter, blogger, 
and “embezzler,” convicted on trumped up charges in one of Putin’s 
kangaroo courts.
Navalny, who faces a five-year prison term, was 
unexpectedly released on bail instead of being sent to jail. The 
Kremlin’s logic: Sobyanin needed at least some opposition to claim 
legitimacy. Navalny offered an ideal ploy – a convicted criminal, 
deprived of television and radio coverage, and under the threat of 
prison,  running a futile campaign against the well oiled Kremlin 
machine. In pre-election campaign mode, Sobyanin cleaned up parks, 
repaired roads, and spent billions to prove what a good job he was doing
 on behalf of his beloved people of Moscow.
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