Paul R. Gregory's writings on Russia, the world economy, and other matters that he finds of interest.
Monday, August 27, 2012
On the Failed Job Creation Front, Obama Has Completely Run Out of Ideas
Unemployment is the millstone around President Obama’s neck in the 2012 election campaign. Attentive voters understand he is offering excuses — a worse-than-expected economy, financial crises requiring longer recoveries, bad luck of tsunamis, droughts, and the Euro — not solutions. Obama cannot deliver solutions because a real jobs program contradicts his core principles, alienates his base, and infuriates his crony contributors. He can only promise more of the failed policies –stimulus and tinkering — of his first three and a half years
.
Obama’s last foray into job creation was his American Jobs Act (AJA) submitted to Congress on September 12, 2011. Labeled “Stimulus 2” by its critics, Obama’s shopworn list of remedies, promised to “put more people back to work and put more money in the pockets of working Americans….without adding a dime to the deficit.” The AJA’s temporary tax credits to businesses that hire, extension of the payroll tax holiday, and more money for teachers and infrastructure stalled in both Houses and had to be taken up piecemeal. The payroll tax holiday extension passed Congress. Small businesses decided his tax credits for hiring were not worth the trouble.
A deafening silence followed. Obama’s vaunted Jobs Task Force has not met for more than a half year. Obama is out of ideas. He can only offer excuses, criticize those offering new solutions, and divert attention from the worst recovery in history with chatter about the rich not paying their fair share and his opponent’s tax returns.
One year ago, on the eve of the President’s jobs address, I wrote Why Obama Cannot Support a Real Jobs Program. In this piece, I showed what a real jobs program looks like and how it largely would have increased jobs, to use Obama’s AJA message, “without adding a dime to the deficit.” Here is the substance of what I wrote then as advice to the President:
go to forbes.com
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
New Business for American Trial Lawyers: Sue For Hurt Feelings
Nine Russian activists are
suing Madonna for millions. They were offended by
her support of homosexual rights during a concert in Petersburg. A February Petersburg law makes it illegal “to promote
homosexuality to minors” and reportedly there were children as young as nine at
the Madonna concert. They are demanding $10.5 million in damages.
Madonna is not the only
one. Three residents of Novosibirsk are suing
the jailed Pussy Riot Punk Rock girls for 30,000 rubles (about a thousand dollars) for hurt feelings
caused by the punk rockers behavior in a Moscow
cathedral.
U.
S. lawyers: get on a
plane to Russia.
Maybe you can learn how to sue for hurt feelings in the United States
where big bucks are at stake.
Labels:
hurt feelings,
Petersburg,
pussy riot,
trial lawyers
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Storm Clouds Ahead for Putin as He Takes on McCartney, Madonna and the LGBT Community
Virtually the whole world now knows that three girls wearing colorful
mini-skirts, tights and masks were arrested in a Moscow cathedral for
performing a punk prayer: “Holy Virgin: Drive Putin Out.” After a half
year in jail, undernourished and sleep-deprived, the three Pussy Riot
feminist punk band girls were sentenced to two years in jail for
“hooliganism motivated by religious hatred.” The judge refused to allow
testimony that their’s was a political act aimed at Putin and the
corrupt head of the orthodox church, Patriarch Kirill (widely known to
have been a KGB agent during the Soviet era). The girls maintained they
acted against Putin and Kirill, not against the church.
A new term is now ensconced in the Russian vocabulary – “khamsud”. Both the Pussy Riot and oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky trials were held in Moscow’s Khamovnichesky Court. Khamsud, roughly translated, is a court run by dishonest judges and prosecutors.
The harsh sentence to two years in a labor colony shook the world diplomatic and artistic communities, but prison terms are an integral part of Putin’s strategy of attacking “low hanging fruit” to show that dissent will not be tolerated. Putin sentenced Khodorkovsky, not once but twice, in “khamsud.” Other oligarchs were silenced or fled the country. But Khodorkovsky was one of those crooked oligarchs, people concluded and paid no attention. Similarly, Putin calculates that few Russians will care about bizarre punk rockers, whose short skirts revealed their rears as they genuflected on the church altar.
go to forbes.com
A new term is now ensconced in the Russian vocabulary – “khamsud”. Both the Pussy Riot and oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky trials were held in Moscow’s Khamovnichesky Court. Khamsud, roughly translated, is a court run by dishonest judges and prosecutors.
The harsh sentence to two years in a labor colony shook the world diplomatic and artistic communities, but prison terms are an integral part of Putin’s strategy of attacking “low hanging fruit” to show that dissent will not be tolerated. Putin sentenced Khodorkovsky, not once but twice, in “khamsud.” Other oligarchs were silenced or fled the country. But Khodorkovsky was one of those crooked oligarchs, people concluded and paid no attention. Similarly, Putin calculates that few Russians will care about bizarre punk rockers, whose short skirts revealed their rears as they genuflected on the church altar.
go to forbes.com
Labels:
Beatles,
khamsud,
Khodorkovsky,
LGBT,
Madonna,
Navalny,
Patriarch Krill,
Paul McCartney,
pussy riot,
Putin
Friday, August 17, 2012
An Open Letter to Vladimir Putin on Pussy Riot: Gregory Kataev (film and theatric director, Moscow)
Dear Paul,
I recently returned
from France where my sister organized a musical festival. An excellent group of international musicians
and students from the French conservatories participated, with each concert
being an event unto itself. People from
all over the globe were in attendance – friends, acquaintances, and strangers.
I was inundated by
questions about why the girls from Pussy Riot were in prison. A high ranking diplomat told me bluntly if
the girls had danced on the altar of Notre Dame they would be sentenced to a
fine or, barring payment, a week of public service. It would never have occurred to anyone that
girls who caused no physical harm or material damage to the church could be in
prison. Their punishment is purely
political, he declared.
Others were equally
incredulous: A Belgian burst out: “What is your court doing? Not everyone approves of what they did, but
the legal process produces nothing but a feeling of disgust! The whole world is indignant about this
inquisition, and the names “Nadia-Masha-Katya” now are symbols of political
repression.” An American complained to
me: “I admire Russian literature, music
and the churches. But the shameful
stories about the Patriarch’s 40 thousand dollars Breguette watches and his
self-serving apartment law suit case and the shameful trial of Pussy Riot have
caused a general loathing of Russia around the world. More and more people view Russia as a
totalitarian, abnormal state with a medieval mentality. Who can give credence to Putin’s ludicrous
statements about democracy, rule of law, and the creation of favorable social
and business climate?”
What could I possibly
answer as someone who loves his country but completely shares this outrage?
Pussy Riot adds to the
too many Russian trials over the last few years that have caused terrifying
reputational damage to Russia. No real
or imagined CIA campaign could cause such psychological or ideological harm to
the Russian image as this trial. The Patriarch’s silence is shameful. The cowardly, Pontius-Pilate Putin’s position, when he washes his hands of
the case demonstrating that he has nothing to do with the show trial, evokes even more international shame. Civilized countries cannot remain indifferent
to such abuses.
A friend invited two
wives of Russian billionaires to the music festival. At the end of the second day, during the
final part of the concert, two young women entered the packed concert hall
after ***knocking on the door. They were
met with scathing glances and they remained standing near the door, their
expressions assured, if not haughty. I
found myself near them, and couldn’t resist asking if they were Russian. They both proudly responded yes, but
obviously took offense at the question.
I took note of their magnificently varnished nails and expensive
clothes.
After the performance, I told my friend not to
bother introducing me to the two young women. I didn’t like them and didn’t
want to meet them. Regardless, after 15
minutes of subtle maneuvers through the crowd, my friend tapped my shoulder and
introduced them. They announced that
they were both Natashas (or Svetas - I forgot) and that according to the
Russian tradition I could stand between them and make a wish. I stood between them and said that I wished
the girls of Pussy Riot to be freed!
Another young Russian woman in their entourage exclaimed, “But why
should they be released?!” As I was
trying to explain my position, she shook her head and covered her face with her
hands, once again loudly exclaiming, “No, there was a cross, it was a sacred
place, you can’t do such things there!
They are criminals and should be judged as such!” The billionaires’ wives nodded agreement
while smiling at me at the same time.
Their friend and I continued to argue, attracting distasteful glances
from those who heard what was going on. After I slipped away, a vacuum formed
around the billionaire’s wives’ group, and they quickly disappeared.
After returning to
Moscow, I now suspect that too many Russians share the views of the tackily but expensively adorned
billionaires’ wives. I read the comment
sections of the press on Pussy Riot, and I see Russia itself. These are not Europeans or Americans
commenting, but Russians, with an almost childlike or fairy tale interpretation
of the controversy, expressed primitively and agressivly. Any intelligent discussion elicits vicious
responses and these opinions continue to safely hover on the internet. They cannot merely be explained away as
nonsense and political naiveté. The only explanation I can come up with is the
indulgence of the Russian intelligence services. The same story with the
numerous illegal surveillance recordings of the Russian opposition on the
internet.
In any country that
respects its own laws the publication of private information gathered illegally
on regime opponents would cause a hurricane of indignation in the media,
followed by criminal trials of those
responsible. But in Russia, only starkly
unjust criminal trials are initiated against
the political opposition and now the innocent girls of Pussy Riot. But the outside world perfectly understands
what is going on. And morning, as the
Russian song says, will eventually come.
Mr. Putin, you should
pay attention to what the international community is saying - the words and
deeds (or lack thereof) of the church
make it clear that Patriarch Kirill is your
puppet (or at least trying to be one).
Either you are not a very smart person, Mr. Putin, or it is your
advisors (which does not preclude the first option). People are discussing this
in every corner of the world… Paris, Orleans, Lyon, London, Edinburgh, Rome,
Florence, Venice, Brussels, Antwerp, Amsterdam, the Hague, Washington, New York
and most importantly…in Moscow. And I,
and the millions of others who love Russia and her culture, are terrified by
the Pussy Riot process, along with the other unjust and shameful legal situations
in Russia. I urge you to speak in
support of the girls from Pussy Riot, Mr. Putin.
Imagine how your
prestige and authority (and that of the Russian Orthodox Church) would rise if you
(or Patriarch Kirill) publicly denounce the charges against Pussy Riot. The group acted in bad taste and offended
parishioners, but they did not cause harm to any people or icons. These girls, whatever
they are - our children, we forgive
them; we love them and would like to meet with them in order to explain
something. Imagine the shattering
impression this would make on people around the world. This would be similar to Pope John Paul II
meeting with the Turk who had shot him in order to forgive him. This was the event of the year, but I don’t
urge you in order to follow a Roman Pope.
I urge you to switch on your mind (and your heart, if it still switches
on) for the glory of Christianity, the
glory of the historical confessors of Orthodoxy - in the glory of Russia.
If you cannot do this,
the impression will be justified that you have no spiritual values and that the president of Russia has only his own
self-serving calculations and political interests at heart. But, it seems to me that you will say
nothing. And it seems that you will
craftily continue to refer Pussy Riot
back to the Russian Courts and await
“ their” decision. You are crafty
because this was the same position you took during the Khodorkovsky trials
while at the same time you unsubstantially accused him of being up to his
elbows in blood and applied pressure to the courts. This is unfair and illegal. And while you are the Egyptian Pharaoh of
Russia you are beyond the law.
But things can change.
And I hope they will. And how will Russian history remember you? Will you be remembered as the one who created
self-destructing “vertical” of power,
primitive “manual control” and whose throne was propped up by the oil, gas and
lumber that are the national resources of
the entire country? Will you be
also remembered as the one under whose name, with your consent, citizens were
pursued, judged and sentenced as if Russian justice is a medieval inquisition? Just imagine what future school children and
students will read about you in their textbooks in fifty years from now? Or a hundred?
In your place, or that of Patriarch Kirill, I would feel fear and shame.
Thursday, August 16, 2012
Paul McCartney and Mikhail Gorbachev Come Out in Support of Punk Rock Girls
In his interview with BBC, former president Mikhail Gorbachev stated:
"I firmly believe that all of this process is unnecessary nonsence of use to no one. This is not a case for the courts. It should be before the court of public opinion."
On his Facebook, Beatles' Paul McCartney writes:
Dear Nadya, Katya & Masha,
I’m writing to show my support for you at this difficult time. I would like you to know that I very much hope the Russian authorities would support the principle of free speech for all their citizens and not feel that they have to punish you for your protest. Many people in the civilized world are allowed to voice their opinions and as long as they do not hurt anyone in doing so I believe this is the best way forward for all societies. I hope you can stay strong and believe that I and many others like me who believe in free speech will do everything in our power to support you and the idea of artistic freedom.
Wishing you the very best of luck
So far, more than 2 million followers "like" the post and more than 100,000 are talking about it.
A major demonstration is scheduled before the courthouse tomorrow, when the Punk Rock Band members are expected to be handed down prison sentences.
"I firmly believe that all of this process is unnecessary nonsence of use to no one. This is not a case for the courts. It should be before the court of public opinion."
On his Facebook, Beatles' Paul McCartney writes:
Dear Nadya, Katya & Masha,
I’m writing to show my support for you at this difficult time. I would like you to know that I very much hope the Russian authorities would support the principle of free speech for all their citizens and not feel that they have to punish you for your protest. Many people in the civilized world are allowed to voice their opinions and as long as they do not hurt anyone in doing so I believe this is the best way forward for all societies. I hope you can stay strong and believe that I and many others like me who believe in free speech will do everything in our power to support you and the idea of artistic freedom.
Wishing you the very best of luck
So far, more than 2 million followers "like" the post and more than 100,000 are talking about it.
A major demonstration is scheduled before the courthouse tomorrow, when the Punk Rock Band members are expected to be handed down prison sentences.
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Pictures of Putin's Security Forces Breaking up a Demonstration
Here are pictures of Putin;s security forces breaking up a peaceful demonstration on the steps of Christ the Savior Cathedral:
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Why Chinese Companies Are Withdrawing from U.S. Stock Exchanges
Chinese companies are withdrawing
their listings from U.S.
stock exchanges. There is no real mystery: First, Chinese companies cannot (and
do not wish to) meet U.S.
accounting standards. They are largely state owned or directed. They usually
operate on the basis of informal agreements and must hide corruption. Second, U.S. markets
are driving down their share prices.
Their withdrawal from U.S.
stock markets is supported by the Chinese government which is providing loans
for that purpose.
Stock markets play the role of
“price discovery.” They let investors decide what companies are worth. For
example, the recent debacle of the Facebook IPO revealed that Facebook’s value
was less than expected.
Chinese companies are withdrawing
because stock-market investors have concluded that the companies of Chinese
state capitalism are worth less than what had generally been expected. Once
short sellers started investigating the goings-on in Chinese companies, their
share prices plummeted.
Chinese authorities must withdraw
their companies quickly from this price discovery process. If it continues, it
will show that Chinese companies are overvalued once their true operating
practices are known.
China cannot let its image of
success and growth be tarnished.
Monday, August 13, 2012
Punk Rockers' Lawyers Seek to Prevent Seizure of Children by the State
The judge's verdict in the Pussy Riot case is expected to fall this Friday with prison sentences for the three defendants, accused of "religious hatred."
The lawyers for the young women are seeking to prevent the seizure of the two young children of band members by state authorities and their transfer to foster homes designated by the state. The picture shows the courageous lawyers (who themselves face potential sanctions) with one of the children.
Putin is following Stalin's example. During his purges, the children of "enemies of the people" were placed in orphanages run by the secret police. They were guaranteed a life of indoctrination and deprivation. The practice of seizing children served as a deterrent for Stalin. It is not beneath Putin to rediscover this Stalinist tactic in his campaign against dissidents.
The lawyers for the young women are seeking to prevent the seizure of the two young children of band members by state authorities and their transfer to foster homes designated by the state. The picture shows the courageous lawyers (who themselves face potential sanctions) with one of the children.
Putin is following Stalin's example. During his purges, the children of "enemies of the people" were placed in orphanages run by the secret police. They were guaranteed a life of indoctrination and deprivation. The practice of seizing children served as a deterrent for Stalin. It is not beneath Putin to rediscover this Stalinist tactic in his campaign against dissidents.
Labels:
Moscow court,
pussy riot,
Putin,
secret police,
seizing children,
Stalin,
state orphanages.
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Outsourcer-In-Chief: Obama Of General Motors
At a Colorado pep rally, President Obama praised his GM bailout as an example for American industry to follow.
“The American automobile industry has come roaring back…So now I want to say what we did with the auto industry, we can do it in manufacturing across America. Let’s make sure advanced, high-tech manufacturing jobs take root here, not in China. And that means supporting investment here. Governor Romney … invested in companies that were called ‘pioneers’ of outsourcing. I don’t want to outsource. I want to insource.” Applause!
According to Obama, GM does everything right. It offers high-paying jobs to American workers. It invests at home. GM put American manufacturing back in the high-tech race on American soil. The new GM is good for America, and America is good for GM, as a former GM chairman declared in 1953. GM is back where it should be.
We need to look no further than General Motors’ own figures to learn that GM outsources almost two thirds of its jobs overseas. Less than one in five GM vehicles are manufactured in the United States.
go to forbes.com
“The American automobile industry has come roaring back…So now I want to say what we did with the auto industry, we can do it in manufacturing across America. Let’s make sure advanced, high-tech manufacturing jobs take root here, not in China. And that means supporting investment here. Governor Romney … invested in companies that were called ‘pioneers’ of outsourcing. I don’t want to outsource. I want to insource.” Applause!
According to Obama, GM does everything right. It offers high-paying jobs to American workers. It invests at home. GM put American manufacturing back in the high-tech race on American soil. The new GM is good for America, and America is good for GM, as a former GM chairman declared in 1953. GM is back where it should be.
We need to look no further than General Motors’ own figures to learn that GM outsources almost two thirds of its jobs overseas. Less than one in five GM vehicles are manufactured in the United States.
go to forbes.com
Labels:
Bain Capital,
Boeing,
GM,
GM Mexico,
GMNA,
insourcing,
manufacturing,
Obama,
outsourcing,
Putin,
righ to work states,
Romnney
Wednesday, August 8, 2012
The Global Rock and Roll Community Must Step Up In Support of Pussy Riot: Or: Vladimir Can Beat Hillary and Barack but Not Madonna and Yoko
The Moscow prosecutor has demanded three years for the three members
of the Pussy Riot feminist punk rock band. They have been in prison
since March after performing a protest song in Christ the Savior
Cathedral, appealing to the Virgin Mary to “throw Putin out.”
The prosecutor argues that only prison can “correct” the unpardonable crime of religious hatred of the accused.
The prosecutor charged that the girls “defamed centuries-old Russian orthodox traditions…They deeply insulted and demeaned the feelings of believers. The words that they shrieked out reviled God.” The prosecutor asked the court to weigh “the degree of social danger of the crime” (Note: the exact same language was used during Stalin’s terror). He cited as an aggravating factor that the “action of the girls was planned beforehand, they assigned each other roles, and they rehearsed.”
The prosecutor ruled out any political motives of the girls, stating that “not one name of a politician was pronounced in the cathedral.” (How about Putin?) The analysis of their song revealed “the clear artificiality of the expression included in the text: ‘Holy Virgin: Drive out Putin,’” which they added only to support the case that their action “was a protest against people of high authority.”
The court refused to hear the testimony of fourteen witnesses prepared to testify that the girls were making a political protest. The prosecutor asked the court to ignore any testimony that their actions were not motivated by “religious hatred.” The court experts were “sufficiently qualified. There is no reason to doubt them.”
go to forbes.com
The prosecutor argues that only prison can “correct” the unpardonable crime of religious hatred of the accused.
The prosecutor charged that the girls “defamed centuries-old Russian orthodox traditions…They deeply insulted and demeaned the feelings of believers. The words that they shrieked out reviled God.” The prosecutor asked the court to weigh “the degree of social danger of the crime” (Note: the exact same language was used during Stalin’s terror). He cited as an aggravating factor that the “action of the girls was planned beforehand, they assigned each other roles, and they rehearsed.”
The prosecutor ruled out any political motives of the girls, stating that “not one name of a politician was pronounced in the cathedral.” (How about Putin?) The analysis of their song revealed “the clear artificiality of the expression included in the text: ‘Holy Virgin: Drive out Putin,’” which they added only to support the case that their action “was a protest against people of high authority.”
The court refused to hear the testimony of fourteen witnesses prepared to testify that the girls were making a political protest. The prosecutor asked the court to ignore any testimony that their actions were not motivated by “religious hatred.” The court experts were “sufficiently qualified. There is no reason to doubt them.”
go to forbes.com
Labels:
Corruption,
Fela,
Flea,
kangaroo court,
Madonna,
Patriarch Kirill,
pussy riot,
Putin,
Sting,
Yoko Ono
Sunday, August 5, 2012
Another Media Gaffe: Romney in Israel
Mitt Romney has been skewered by the mainstream media for a statement
about Israel
and the Palestinian Authority that is accepted as true by top economic
historians and anyone with a little common sense. Perhaps Romney should have
known better than to make an intellectual point before reporters, whose attention
span and education are in short supply, to say the least.
Romney began his to-be-skewered remarks in Jerusalem with a statement of fact:
“And as you come here and you see the GDP per capita, for
instance, in Israel,
which is about $21,000, and you compare that with the GDP per capita just
across the areas managed by the Palestinian Authority, which is more like
$10,000 per capita, you notice a dramatic, stark difference in economic
vitality.” (He overstated the Palestinian figure, pointed out one jubilant
critic, but the point remains the same).
Romney’s “gaffe” was to use Harvard economic historian,
David Landes’s The
Wealth and Poverty of Nations to explain the differences in “economic
vitality” between Israel
and its Arab neighbors he saw with his own eyes:
“If you could learn anything from the economic history of
the world it’s this: culture makes all the difference. Culture makes all the
difference.”
The Press buzzed with excitement: Did Romney actually say
that Israel
is successful and the Palestinian Authority is not because of cultural
differences? What an insult! Such a racist
and bigot is not fit to be President! What an opportunity to build on the
narrative that Romney is gaffe prone!
go to forbes.com
Thursday, August 2, 2012
Update: Putin’s Pussy Riot Headache
Vladimir Putin unwillingly
responded to reporters’ questions about Pussy Riot during his official visit to
England.
. When pressed by persistent reporters, he declared that he did not want really
want to speak about this issue: “There is nothing good in this case. But I do
not think it is necessary to judge them sternly for what they have done. I hope
that they will draw their own conclusions about what they have done.”
In typical Putin fashion, Putin
washed his hands of responsibility. It is up to the courts: “I hope the courts
make the right decision. (This after the Khodorkovsky judge unwillingly
announced the decision telephoned to him from above.). (Stalin also could do nothing to save his victims from the Soviet legal system. It was their decision not his!)
Putin went on to say that Pussy Riot are lucky that they committed such
a heinous crime in a civilized country like Russia: “I think that if the girls
had committed such sacrilege in Israel – many of you know, there they have some
pretty tough guys – they would not have gotten away. If this had happened in
the Caucasus – you do not have to go very far
-- and if they had insulted some Muslim practice, we could not have succeeded
in protecting them.”
When asked whether he discussed
Pussy Riot with Premier David Cameron: “No,
we did not mention it.”
Back home, prominent members of the
Russian Society of Advocates issued an open letter in support of Pussy Riot. They wrote that criminal
proceedings against the women contradicts Russian law and is a step towards the
destruction of a rule of law in Russia.”
As we say: Putin has stepped into
it. He had to parry questions about the imprisonment of a girl punk band on a
state visit to a major country, and he has to face a rare bit of push back from
his own legal profession, which appears to be embarrassed to work in a country
with no laws.
A question for Putin to consider: What would happen if one of the punk rock girls dies in prison?
Labels:
David Cameron,
feminist punk band,
Khodorkovsky,
punk rock,
pussy riot,
Putin
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